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IL-Senate Campaign Thu Jan 28 2010
Reading Nate Silver Could Have Saved Some Time
The political series of tubes is all a-flutter thanks to a new PPP poll which has Alexi Giannoulias with a fairly strong lead over Mark Kirk in a general election matchup:
In a reminder that contested primaries can be a good thing Alexi Giannoulias has jumped out to a 42-34 lead over Mark Kirk in the race to be Illinois' next Senator. When PPP last looked at such a match up in April the two were tied at 35.
One key thing to look at when Republicans try to win in blue states like Illinois is how the moderates are voting. Scott Brown won their votes in Massachusetts last week, something that has become a very rare occurrence for GOP candidates in the past few election cycles. Right now Giannoulias is ahead of Kirk 45-25 with them. Kirk will have to make some significant in roads there if he's going to win this fall.
It should be noted that Nate Silver projected a Giannoulias lead about a week ago.
