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IL-10 Sat Oct 16 2010
Will Money Change The Tide In IL-10?
Last Wednesday Bob Dold, the Republican running in the race for Illinois's 10th Congressional seat previously held by Mark Kirk, released impressive fundraising numbers for the third quarter, especially for one of the few races that's commonly considered a shoe-in for the Democrat, Dan Seals. Dold raised $834,766.94, about $200,000 more than in the last quarter.
It's also about $200,000 more than Seals raised this quarter. The Seals Campaign has been mum about fundraising numbers this quarter suggesting they knew their numbers wouldn't match Dold's. Seals raised $639,143 this quarter (read the Seals raw fundraising report here and the Dold third quarter fundraising report here).
It's a continuation of a favorable trend for Dold. In the second quarter Seals raised $556,156 and Dold raised $561,843. The first quarter was much more promising for Seals. In the first three months of the year Seals raised $662,773 compared to Dold's $504, 822.
So the fundraising advantage has been slowly moving Dold's way. The polls don't reflect that though. Even though Dold has been closing the money margin in the 10th Congressional District race Seals has kept a steady lead.
Still, that was when the fundraising margin was much smaller. The question going forward is whether Dold's fundraising advantage will spill over into the polls. At the end of the third quarter Seals reported $601,662 cash on hand and Dold reported having $978,820 cash on hand.
Chris / October 16, 2010 10:54 PM
Things might have al ready turned around for Dold.
On 10/15/10 a new poll came out from WeAskAmerica.Com which had Dold at an eleven percent advantage over Seals with the totals equaling out to be 50% for Dold, 39% for Seals, and 10% undecided.
Combine that with the fundraising advantage and Dold suddenly pulls even with Seals.
Link: http://weaskamerica.com/2010/10/15/were-baaack/
It should be noted, however, that in the land of endorsements Seals just picked up the Daily Herald tonight, along with the Sun Times a week ago.
Dold came away with a nod from the Tribune.