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Tuesday, November 12

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The Mechanics
« Cheryle Jackson Will Enter Senate Race: Hinz A Mob of Senior Citizens »

State Politics Mon Aug 10 2009

Dan Seals Should Be Happy, Mark Kirk...Not So Much

Things are finally looking up for ol' Dan Seals. Chris Cilizza has the scoop:

Seals Far Ahead in IL-10 Survey: Dan Seals, the Democratic nominee against Rep. Mark Kirk (R) in 2006 and 2008, holds a wide lead in the 2010 Democratic primary, according to a survey done for his campaign and obtained by the Fix. Seals takes 63 percent of the vote compared to to just eight percent for state Rep. Julie Hamos and two percent for attorney Elliot Richardson in a hypothetical Democratic primary matchup. The survey, which was conducted by Anzalone-Liszt Research for Seals campaign, also showed Seals -- not surprisingly -- as by far the best known candidate in the Democratic race with 83 percent name identification. Hamos, who won the endorsement of Rep. Jan Schakowsky (D-Ill.) last Friday, has a meager 18 percent name identification. And, roughly two-thirds of voters agreed with the statement that Seals had earned the right to a third run for the seat while 23 percent said it was time to give someone new a chance. With Kirk leaving the 10th to run for Senate, Democrats have a very good chance of taking over this North Shore district.

Meanwhile, Mark Kirk may be in trouble...okay probably not, but he does need to watch what and when he tweets.
 
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Ken J. / August 12, 2009 9:38 AM

Well, this doesn't add up to much considering the fact that Hamos just announced so of course she has no name recognition. And he ran twice, so of course he would.

Paul / August 24, 2009 10:23 AM

This poll has very little validity, IMHO. Seals has "soft" support among 10th district Democrats but that won't translate into campaign contributions and foot soldiers needed to win on election day. He has yet to prove that he can win a very competitive race against a great candidate like Rep. Hamos. The only election Dan Seals ever won was a very weak primary challenge from the guy from Vernon Hills.

I bet that the next campaign finance report will show that Rep. Hamos will be beating the pants off of Dan Seals on fund-raising. Many Seals backers aren't going to be writing checks like they did in '06 and '08. Even if somehow he did win, this poll doesn't test him against Rep. Coulson who will be a very good candidate for the GOP.

Lastly, not sure why you think Kirk should be worried. The Dems have yet to put any Senate candidates forward who look like they can beat him in reality or in any polls. If Tom Dart enters the race, maybe that will change.

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Feature

Parents Still Steaming, but About More Than Just Boilers

By Phil Huckelberry / 2 Comments

It's now been 11 days since the carbon monoxide leak which sent over 80 Prussing Elementary School students and staff to the hospital. While officials from Chicago Public Schools have partially answered some questions, and CPS CEO Forrest Claypool has informed that he will be visiting the school to field more questions on Nov. 16, many parents remain irate at the CPS response to date. More...

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Substance, Not Style, the Source of Rahm's Woes

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It's not surprising that some of Mayor Emanuel's sympathizers and supporters are confusing people's substantive disputes with the mayor as the effect of poor marketing on his part. It's exactly this insular worldview that has gotten the mayor in hot... More...

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Mechanics is the politics section of Gapers Block, reflecting the diversity of viewpoints and beliefs of Chicagoans and Illinoisans. More...
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